Just count all the reasons why there might not be a plethora of trades during Thursday’s first round of the NFL Draft.
The talent pool is deep so teams figure if they stay put, they’ll still get a solid player.
There are no sure-fire quarterbacks available so teams won’t be willing to give up a lot to move up.
A normally aggressive team like Washington doesn’t have the ammunition to rocket up the board like it did two years ago.
And Al Davis is no longer alive and running the Raiders.
Of course, that means there will be moves galore.
Recent history suggests there will be plenty of jockeying, particularly in the bottom half of the first round.
From 2010-13, a total of 45 first-round picks have changed hands, including 10 in the top 10.
Two days before the draft, only two first-round picks have changed hands: St. Louis has the Redskins’ pick (No. 2) to complete the Robert Griffin III trade, and Cleveland has Indianapolis’ selection (No. 26) through the deal last September for running back Trent Richardson.
Here are five teams who could be active on Thursday night:
Jaguars. General manager Dave Caldwell has 11 picks and would like to add to that total. But his conundrum: If a player available at No. 3 generates trade interest, should he take that player? That would certainly be the case if Clemson receiver Sammy Watkins is on the board.
Caldwell said he’s comfortable moving to bottom part of the top 10 and still finding an immediate starter. Plus, if he did that, it would allow him more pieces to move up from No. 39 to get a quarterback.
Oakland. The Raiders are without picks in the fourth and fifth rounds, spots where franchises build depth. They’re sitting at Nos. 5 and 36 overall in the first two rounds so it would make sense for general manager Reggie McKenzie to be in move-down mode.
“I’m open to everything,” McKenzie told reporters last week. “Whether I stay at [No. 5], it’s all going to depend on who’s calling, where we’re moving and who is there when you’re picking. There are so many variables.”
Atlanta. The Falcons were bold in 2011, moving from No. 26 to No. 6 to draft receiver Julio Jones. At the time, they felt Jones was a missing piece and that the following year’s draft was low on receivers. The move made sense. Some are projecting the Falcons moving into position to take defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. But the Falcons are in a state of semi-transition — they have the sixth pick but aren’t in a spot to pay a heavy price. That said, they could be interested in moving to No. 3 via trade with the Jaguars to select linebacker Khalil Mack.
Dallas. The Cowboys remain in salary-cap purgatory and were silent in free agency aside from adding former Jaguars defensive end Jeremy Mincey. Dallas needs to infuse youth but among its eight picks, three are in the throw-a-dart seventh round.
The Cowboys are at No. 16 and should call the teams needing a quarterback but aren’t inclined to take one in the top dozen picks.
“They don’t have enough picks so it wouldn’t surprise me at all if they traded down,” NFL Network analyst Mike Mayock said.
San Francisco. The 49ers have 12 picks, including four of the top 77 selections. Their roster is stacked to the point where a dozen rookies won’t make their opening-week roster so general manager Trent Baalke could look to trade up.
“First and foremost, I still believe they’re going to trade up,” Mayock said. “They’re either going to target a corner or a receiver. I don’t expect to see them on the clock at No. 30 because the corner and wideout board will be wiped out by then.”
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