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Expect to see some moves during the NFL Draft, especially in second half of first round

Posted: May 6, 2014 - 9:04pm  |  Updated: May 6, 2014 - 11:16pm
Clemson receiver Sammy Watkins runs a drill at the NFL Scouting Combine on Feb. 23.  AP
AP
Clemson receiver Sammy Watkins runs a drill at the NFL Scouting Combine on Feb. 23.

Just count all the reasons why there might not be a plethora of trades during Thursday’s first round of the NFL Draft.

The talent pool is deep so teams figure if they stay put, they’ll still get a solid player.

There are no sure-fire quarterbacks available so teams won’t be willing to give up a lot to move up.

A normally aggressive team like Washington doesn’t have the ammunition to rocket up the board like it did two years ago.

And Al Davis is no longer alive and running the Raiders.

Of course, that means there will be moves galore.

Recent history suggests there will be plenty of jockeying, particularly in the bottom half of the first round.

From 2010-13, a total of 45 first-round picks have changed hands, including 10 in the top 10.

Two days before the draft, only two first-round picks have changed hands: St. Louis has the Redskins’ pick (No. 2) to complete the Robert Griffin III trade, and Cleveland has Indianapolis’ selection (No. 26) through the deal last September for running back Trent Richardson.

Here are five teams who could be active on Thursday night:

Jaguars. General manager Dave Caldwell has 11 picks and would like to add to that total. But his conundrum: If a player available at No. 3 generates trade interest, should he take that player? That would certainly be the case if Clemson receiver Sammy Watkins is on the board.

Caldwell said he’s comfortable moving to bottom part of the top 10 and still finding an immediate starter. Plus, if he did that, it would allow him more pieces to move up from No. 39 to get a quarterback.

 

Oakland. The Raiders are without picks in the fourth and fifth rounds, spots where franchises build depth. They’re sitting at Nos. 5 and 36 overall in the first two rounds so it would make sense for general manager Reggie McKenzie to be in move-down mode.

“I’m open to everything,” McKenzie told reporters last week. “Whether I stay at [No. 5], it’s all going to depend on who’s calling, where we’re moving and who is there when you’re picking. There are so many variables.”

 

Atlanta. The Falcons were bold in 2011, moving from No. 26 to No. 6 to draft receiver Julio Jones. At the time, they felt Jones was a missing piece and that the following year’s draft was low on receivers. The move made sense. Some are projecting the Falcons moving into position to take defensive end Jadeveon Clowney. But the Falcons are in a state of semi-transition — they have the sixth pick but aren’t in a spot to pay a heavy price. That said, they could be interested in moving to No. 3 via trade with the Jaguars to select linebacker Khalil Mack.

 

Dallas. The Cowboys remain in salary-cap purgatory and were silent in free agency aside from adding former Jaguars defensive end Jeremy Mincey. Dallas needs to infuse youth but among its eight picks, three are in the throw-a-dart seventh round.

The Cowboys are at No. 16 and should call the teams needing a quarterback but aren’t inclined to take one in the top dozen picks.

“They don’t have enough picks so it wouldn’t surprise me at all if they traded down,” NFL Network analyst Mike Mayock said.

 

San Francisco. The 49ers have 12 picks, including four of the top 77 selections. Their roster is stacked to the point where a dozen rookies won’t make their opening-week roster so general manager Trent Baalke could look to trade up.

“First and foremost, I still believe they’re going to trade up,” Mayock said. “They’re either going to target a corner or a receiver. I don’t expect to see them on the clock at No. 30 because the corner and wideout board will be wiped out by then.”

 

Ryan O’Halloran: (904) 359-4401

NFL DRAFT

When: Thursday-Saturday.

Where: Radio City Music Hall, New York.

TV: ESPN, NFL Network.

Format: Thursday (8 p.m., Round 1); Friday (6:30 p.m., Rounds 2-3); Saturday (Noon, Rounds. 4-7).

Jaguars picks: No. 3 (Rd. 1); 39 (Rd. 2); 70 (Rd. 3); 105 (Rd. 4), 114 (Rd. 4); 144 (Rd. 5), 150 (Rd. 5), 159 (Rd. 5); 179 (Rd. 6), 205 (Rd. 6); 222 (Rd. 7).

INSIDE

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Ring of Honor. C-3

Comments (6)

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el7cheapo
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el7cheapo 05/07/14 - 01:48 pm
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Ryan O'Halloran does not konw

Ryan O'Halloran does not konw anything more then we do when it comes to the players on David Caldwells top ten player list. Ryan can only speculate just like us.

You have to go back and look at the team needs and match those needs to the best available player, and look at what positions have the most depth when it comes to quality players available at that position.

David Caldwell showed that he knows how to pick the best available player when he drafted Cyprien in the 2nd round, and Josh evans in the 5th (or 6th?)

I don't see us drafting Mack with the 3rd pick, he is a risky pick at 3 overall considering he went to a small scholl, they could trade down and get more picks, based on their evaluation of the top ten players available. they would not trade down to a point where they would not have the likelihood of not picking up a good player. this team has alot of needs to fill so picking up more selections would be great.

TheMadKow
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TheMadKow 05/07/14 - 08:37 am
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Premium Member

Bortles is the highest QB on

Bortles is the highest QB on the Jags board according to Ryan O'Halloran. I can see us trading down with either Atlanta or Detroit and picking him.

Davethecaveman
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Davethecaveman 05/07/14 - 07:50 am
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Not sure Blake Bortles is the

Not sure Blake Bortles is the QB the Jags want in the first place. I hope it's Manziel at the #3 spot. If not all bets are off. We trade down and will have more draft picks but maybe not the right QB. Might have to try again next year. Can't wait till tomorrow night.

secondguesser
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secondguesser 05/07/14 - 06:31 am
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@ Bungole

@ Bungole Kitty

Hopefully...............this team won't listen to a dam thing you've said.

Jungle Cat
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Jungle Cat 05/07/14 - 12:13 am
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The idea of drafting the best

The idea of drafting the best player available regardless of position seems to be getting hammered by a bunch of nuts that know nothing about football.

There's no reason at all to believe the so called big three quarterbacks are more talented if taken later in the draft. It just doesn't work that way.

Trading down gives you multiple less talented players than what you could have selected at three, and you will likely not have a second chance to draft the player you passed on. With a roster full of less talented players, the culture change was supposed to be about drafting more talented players. You only improve if you discipline yourself to draft the elite player regardless of what his actual position is.

Take the best tackle we can get at three. Matthews, Lewan, or Robinson. All three are elite and belong at the top of the draft. Robinson would be tops, but he does not show superior pass protection skills. Matthews and Lewan get the edge.

When you take the second elite tackle there's a subtle decline in problems for the offense. The quarterback has time to go through progressions. The tight end can run free from the line. He no longer has to stay home and bail out the inferior pass protection. Same for running back except when he's vectored to blitz pick-up.

We have lacked superior pass protection for so long, we forgot that maximum protection is the exception and not a norm.

Drafting a second elite tackle a year after taking Joeckel is the right way to develop the coveted book end set.

We took Boselli and DeMarco in the first and second round of the same 1995 draft.

We took Monroe and Britton recently in the first and second of the same draft as well.

The stunning effects of bookend tackles is always the goal of developing offensive line talent, but unfortunately, the talent drop off between Boselli and DeMarco was too great. With the talent unbalanced the opponents found one side easier to attack.

Monroe was never in the same class as Boselli, and together he and Britton struggled to replace an excellent pair of tackles in Khalif Barnes and Tony Pashos. Monroe and Britton were never able to match the same level of superior pass protection Barnes and Pashos did in 2007.

After the first round pick, the Jaguars should continue to monitor the first round as it plays out. A guy gets picked, take his tag down.

Trading back into the late first round is dumb. *****ets management is something Caldwell better pay attention to avoid. Three picks for a guy you already passed up on is d-u-m-b dumb, if he happens to fall far enough.

At pick two and all the rest of our picks, continue to draft the best football players available. Position doesn't matter.

Why leave a first round offensive guard on the board in order to draft the seventh ranked wide receiver? The seventh ranked receiver is much less talented at his job than the first round guard is at his job.

Because we don't need a guard that good? Are you serious?

The whole business of the draft is to find the best talent available, not to try fix needs.

It really helps to know something about football. Having two elite offensive tackles is always the goal. You want superior talent on your offensive line. Less talented players never makes your smart or wiser. It makes you losers.

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